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Red14
36018.8
11411.1
95511.3
Blue11
25420.8
7536.0
188713.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42432030506070801411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
Unranked
18.80.6
19.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
254
Unranked
20.80.6
21.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
955
Unranked
11.30.6
11.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1887
Unranked
13.20.6
13.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
114
Unranked
11.10.6
11.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
753
Unranked
6.00.7
6.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End