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Red58
49220.6
36018.8
60411.0
Blue9
188713.2
177811.2
17007.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372206080100120140160589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
Unranked
20.61.9
14.616.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1887
Unranked
13.21.2
8.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
360
Unranked
18.81.9
11.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1778
Unranked
11.21.2
7.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
604
Unranked
11.01.9
8.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1700
Unranked
7.71.2
7.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End