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Red31
189113.9
17007.7
18433.2
Blue52
14259.6
94915.0
60411.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203104060803152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
Unranked
13.90.8
10.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
949
Unranked
15.01.9
10.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1700
Unranked
7.70.8
6.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
604
Unranked
11.01.9
10.812.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1843
Unranked
3.20.8
4.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
1425
Unranked
9.61.9
7.99.8
Auto
Teleop
End