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Red12
15661.2
48813.8
9812.2
Blue6
94915.0
3727.7
3623.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17310406080100126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
Unranked
13.80.5
9.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
949
Unranked
15.01.9
12.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
981
Unranked
2.20.5
3.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
372
Unranked
7.71.9
9.98.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1566
Unranked
1.20.5
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
362
Unranked
3.81.9
6.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End