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Red50
177811.2
94815.1
25420.8
Blue24
7536.0
129411.9
14259.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4723060801001201401605024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
20.80.5
19.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1294
Unranked
11.90.2
9.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
Unranked
15.10.5
17.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1425
Unranked
9.60.2
9.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1778
Unranked
11.20.5
7.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
753
Unranked
6.00.2
7.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End