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Red3
15716.0
15661.2
17007.7
Blue10
18408.6
15106.2
13014.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142101030405060310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
Unranked
7.71.0
6.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1840
Unranked
8.60.9
7.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1571
Unranked
6.01.0
3.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1510
Unranked
6.20.9
7.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1566
Unranked
1.21.0
4.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1301
Unranked
4.80.9
4.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End