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Red40
13188.6
99711.2
156910.1
Blue21
10876.6
12585.2
177811.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311904060801004021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
Unranked
11.20.9
8.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1778
Unranked
11.20.1
8.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1569
Unranked
10.10.9
13.214.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1087
Unranked
6.60.1
6.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1318
Unranked
8.60.9
7.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1258
Unranked
5.20.1
5.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End