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Red38
49220.6
9812.2
134612.2
Blue21
94815.1
18388.6
18433.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25340102040506070803821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
Unranked
20.61.0
18.819.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
948
Unranked
15.11.0
17.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1346
Unranked
12.21.0
4.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1838
Unranked
8.61.0
10.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
981
Unranked
2.21.0
2.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1843
Unranked
3.21.0
4.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End