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Red33
13188.6
135917.5
7536.0
Blue21
60411.0
95613.4
48813.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293401020405060703321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
Unranked
17.50.3
16.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
488
Unranked
13.80.9
9.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1318
Unranked
8.60.3
8.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
956
Unranked
13.40.9
11.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
753
Unranked
6.00.3
4.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
604
Unranked
11.00.9
12.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End