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Red66
177811.2
183910.8
48813.8
Blue16
16246.6
189113.9
15661.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232301020304050606616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
Unranked
13.83.1
8.611.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1891
Unranked
13.90.5
13.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1778
Unranked
11.23.1
9.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1624
Unranked
6.60.5
7.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1839
Unranked
10.83.1
5.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
1566
Unranked
1.20.5
1.81.3
Auto
Teleop
End