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Red15
15661.2
7536.0
99711.2
Blue50
189113.9
18433.2
15716.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18180103040501550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
Unranked
11.20.2
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1891
Unranked
13.92.2
12.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
753
Unranked
6.00.2
5.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1571
Unranked
6.02.2
3.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1566
Unranked
1.20.2
1.31.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1843
Unranked
3.22.2
1.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End