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Red69
134612.2
11411.1
188713.2
Blue9
3623.8
177811.2
18408.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27281020405060699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1887
Unranked
13.22.7
9.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1778
Unranked
11.21.2
12.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1346
Unranked
12.22.7
9.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1840
Unranked
8.61.2
9.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
114
Unranked
11.12.7
8.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
362
Unranked
3.81.2
5.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End