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Red30
128016.7
156910.1
189113.9
Blue33
25420.8
7536.0
188713.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42422030506070803033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
Unranked
16.70.3
17.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
254
Unranked
20.80.2
21.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1891
Unranked
13.90.3
14.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1887
Unranked
13.20.2
13.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1569
Unranked
10.10.3
10.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
753
Unranked
6.00.2
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End