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Red28
18156.4
121912.6
190114.5
Blue12
12465.2
18466.6
11898.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2726101520303540452812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1901
Unranked
14.50.0
12.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1189
Unranked
8.10.8
9.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1219
Unranked
12.60.1
10.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1846
Unranked
6.61.2
8.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1815
Unranked
6.40.1
4.24.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1246
Unranked
5.21.2
7.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End