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Red50
11124.8
4536.8
6818.9
Blue9
16055.1
11898.1
85412.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26260102030405060509

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
Unranked
18.91.2
16.117.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
854
Unranked
12.11.5
11.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
453
Unranked
6.81.2
4.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1189
Unranked
8.10.9
8.98.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1112
Unranked
4.82.1
4.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1605
Unranked
5.11.5
7.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End