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Red16
61014.8
18466.6
11124.8
Blue123
150335.9
4536.8
168017.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2251040608010012016123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
14.80.8
12.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.1
1503
Unranked
35.93.8
27.831.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1846
Unranked
6.60.8
6.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
1680
Unranked
17.83.8
13.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1112
Unranked
4.80.8
6.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
453
Unranked
6.83.8
5.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End