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Red25
9125.9
11124.8
18156.4
Blue68
111447.7
61014.8
77216.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881501001502568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1815
Unranked
6.40.6
5.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.3
1114
Unranked
47.70.2
46.146.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
912
Unranked
5.90.6
5.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
772
Unranked
16.70.2
14.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1112
Unranked
4.80.6
5.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
610
Unranked
14.80.3
11.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End