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Red11
7583.2
18156.4
4536.8
Blue18
93111.7
13345.1
11124.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17260103040506070801118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
453
Unranked
6.80.4
9.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
931
Unranked
11.70.4
12.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1815
Unranked
6.40.5
6.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1334
Unranked
5.10.5
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
758
Unranked
3.20.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1112
Unranked
4.80.5
6.96.4
Auto
Teleop
End