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Red8
7719.9
12814.7
11124.8
Blue33
12465.2
159616.5
121912.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16300406080100833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
771
Unranked
9.90.8
5.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1596
Unranked
16.50.3
14.114.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1112
Unranked
4.80.8
5.14.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1219
Unranked
12.60.4
8.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1281
Unranked
4.70.8
7.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1246
Unranked
5.20.4
5.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End