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Red42
162535.6
52516.4
17103.2
Blue0
110313.5
8629.1
7545.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51230406080100420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
Unranked
35.60.3
31.631.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
1103
Unranked
13.52.2
11.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
525
Unranked
16.40.5
11.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
862
Unranked
9.11.6
8.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1710
Unranked
3.20.5
4.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
754
Unranked
5.12.2
5.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End