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Red13
13065.7
17393.3
150418.1
Blue16
17148.0
186411.8
17167.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262510203040501316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
Unranked
18.10.7
14.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1864
Unranked
11.80.8
11.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1306
Unranked
5.71.1
6.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1714
Unranked
8.00.5
8.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
Unranked
3.30.7
5.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1716
Unranked
7.70.8
5.04.2
Auto
Teleop
End