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Red48
110313.5
17817.3
49430.0
Blue9
13065.7
109112.5
53713.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573602080100120489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
30.00.3
32.532.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
537
Unranked
13.01.5
17.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1103
Unranked
13.50.4
13.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1091
Unranked
12.51.8
14.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1781
Unranked
7.30.3
8.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1306
Unranked
5.71.8
7.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End