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Red32
1257.4
56210.5
147411.4
Blue7
18111.8
66310.5
112411.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36420206080100327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
Unranked
11.40.3
13.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
181
Unranked
11.81.7
12.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
562
Unranked
10.50.4
16.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1124
Unranked
11.02.7
15.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
125
Unranked
7.40.3
6.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
663
Unranked
10.51.7
14.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End