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Red19
34822.5
8391.1
110315.5
Blue25
110011.7
1257.4
10585.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4522060801001201925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
Unranked
22.51.2
24.823.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
1100
Unranked
11.70.0
12.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1103
Unranked
15.51.2
16.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
125
Unranked
7.40.0
6.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
Unranked
1.11.2
0.8-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1058
Unranked
5.40.0
5.75.6
Auto
Teleop
End