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Red26
102711.8
16610.2
4021.0
Blue48
127615.8
56210.5
4678.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48300204060801001201401602648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40
Unranked
21.01.0
22.021.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1276
Unranked
15.80.8
15.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1027
Unranked
11.81.0
12.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
562
Unranked
10.50.8
9.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
166
Unranked
10.21.0
11.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
467
Unranked
8.40.8
7.68.4
Auto
Teleop
End