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Red22
1518.6
110315.5
168510.0
Blue52
151923.6
3500.6
16610.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38400102030506070802252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1103
Unranked
15.50.8
16.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
1519
Unranked
23.60.6
22.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1685
Unranked
10.00.8
11.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
166
Unranked
10.20.6
12.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
151
Unranked
8.60.8
10.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
350
Unranked
0.60.8
4.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End