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Red128
17930.1
168311.8
7146.0
Blue30
953.8
5228.3
19462.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378020608010012014012830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#36
30.14.7
25.530.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.7
522
#56
8.30.9
7.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1683
#17
11.84.7
7.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
95
#75
3.80.9
2.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
714
#72
6.04.7
1.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1946
#53
2.10.9
1.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End