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Red8
6611.9
168311.8
11110.8
Blue12
23347.4
8578.7
155913.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2168050100150200812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#40
11.90.9
13.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.4
233
#2
47.42.5
34.632.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1683
#17
11.80.9
6.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1559
#59
13.23.1
20.617.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1111
#84
0.81.3
5.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
857
#46
8.73.3
7.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End