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Red78
121619.8
17318.8
7119.5
Blue81
206222.4
83236.5
33713.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384701001502002507881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1216
#30
19.81.9
14.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
832
#18
36.51.7
25.026.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
71
#48
19.51.9
16.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2062
#23
22.42.5
12.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1731
#52
8.82.6
8.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
337
#29
13.41.7
9.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End