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Red52
82915.2
159810.7
22315.7
Blue8
166221.9
6611.9
5228.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37310100200300400500528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#22
15.71.0
11.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1662
#19
21.91.2
11.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
829
#41
15.20.8
15.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
66
#40
11.91.2
12.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1598
#39
10.70.8
9.19.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
522
#56
8.31.2
7.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End