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Red4
55516.9
41.8
213410.4
Blue44
108612.4
7119.5
16463.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3434020406080100444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#70
16.91.5
19.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
71
#48
19.50.5
18.619.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2134
#15
10.41.5
12.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1086
#16
12.40.5
10.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4
#73
1.81.5
2.00.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1646
#57
3.40.5
4.34.9
Auto
Teleop
End