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Red128
121619.8
153316.0
4719.3
Blue10
2881.6
90420.1
155913.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042020608010012012810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1216
#30
19.84.4
14.218.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
904
#37
20.11.6
22.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47
#45
19.34.4
17.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1559
#59
13.21.6
17.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
16.07.3
8.415.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
288
#68
1.61.6
2.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End