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Red16
2184-1.2
172612.6
11642.0
Blue4
11655.5
9911.9
19172.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25750100150200164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.60.5
17.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
5.50.4
4.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1164
#19
2.00.5
5.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1917
#17
2.10.4
1.10.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2184
#28
-1.20.5
-0.7-1.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
991
#29
1.90.4
3.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End