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Red4
13430.3
21960.1
10112.4
Blue20
21282.2
6980.2
14563.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9-120406080100420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#14
2.40.3
3.53.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1456
#12
3.71.6
-0.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1343
#25
0.30.3
2.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2.21.6
0.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2196
#30
0.10.3
1.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
698
#33
0.21.6
-0.11.6
Auto
Teleop
End