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Red20
13430.3
19172.1
8427.4
Blue4
14015.8
9911.9
19267.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions570102030405060204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#3
7.41.1
4.35.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1926
#26
7.00.1
0.0-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1917
#17
2.11.1
0.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1401
#18
5.80.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1343
#25
0.31.1
2.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
991
#29
1.90.1
4.14.0
Auto
Teleop
End