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Qual 422007 Arizona Regional
Red16
172612.6
10133.1
18528.8
Blue8
16331.4
3921.9
21282.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30301020405060168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1726
#4
12.61.1
16.0→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.3
39
#1
21.91.7
24.5→22.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1852
#13
8.81.2
11.0→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
2128
#9
2.21.9
3.2→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1013
#23
3.10.7
3.0→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
1633
#24
1.41.7
2.7→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—