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Red2
177211.3
3838.2
22367.0
Blue0
22434.8
11562.5
186019.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67010203040506020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1772
#10
11.30.5
0.1-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
19.40.4
2.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
383
#3
8.20.5
6.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2243
#12
4.84.5
4.80.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
7.06.7
7.00.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1156
#15
2.50.4
2.21.7
Auto
Teleop
End