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Red50
22447.8
20899.1
138216.2
Blue118
177211.3
160319.8
224712.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291705010015020025050118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.21.9
12.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
19.88.3
10.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.11.9
10.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
12.18.3
3.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
7.81.9
4.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1772
#10
11.38.3
4.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End