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Red30
22447.8
138216.2
177211.3
Blue16
20899.1
22434.8
11562.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36170501001502003016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.3
14.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
9.10.3
12.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1772
#10
11.30.3
12.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2243
#12
4.80.3
4.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
7.80.3
6.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1156
#15
2.50.3
2.72.4
Auto
Teleop
End