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Red34
22434.8
138216.2
20899.1
Blue4
177211.3
22447.8
160319.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11130203040506070344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.21.8
6.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
19.80.6
5.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.11.8
5.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1772
#10
11.30.6
0.2-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2243
#12
4.81.8
0.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
7.80.6
5.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End