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Red4
20899.1
224712.1
11562.5
Blue23
22663.4
177211.3
138216.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91002030405060423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.10.5
1.51.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
16.21.1
8.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.10.5
7.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1772
#10
11.31.1
-0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1156
#15
2.50.5
1.10.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3.41.1
2.03.1
Auto
Teleop
End