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Red0
17593.0
46.0
9955.6
Blue15
11975.2
21746.4
6914.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1214020304050607080015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#52
6.01.2
3.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2174
#23
6.40.2
7.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
995
#18
5.61.2
1.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1197
#12
5.20.2
2.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1759
#32
3.01.2
8.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
691
#24
4.80.2
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End