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Red4
15152.3
6914.8
11975.2
Blue0
8488.9
6063.4
166921.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14640608010012014016040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#12
5.20.7
5.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
1669
#17
21.80.6
2.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
691
#24
4.80.7
2.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
848
#25
8.90.6
1.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1515
#22
2.30.7
5.24.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
606
#19
3.40.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End