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Red14
2073.9
15157.6
208315.4
Blue4
55512.8
158311.1
163614.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254106080100120140144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.40.3
15.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1636
#15
14.70.9
14.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1515
#20
7.60.2
7.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
555
#8
12.80.6
12.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
207
#29
3.90.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
1583
#13
11.10.8
11.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End