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Red16
13750.8
1592.7
18264.2
Blue20
2073.9
13773.7
18613.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124204060801001620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1826
#39
4.20.4
1.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1861
#40
3.91.2
4.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
159
#26
2.70.4
6.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
207
#29
3.91.0
-1.4-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1375
#36
0.80.4
2.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1377
#23
3.71.2
2.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End