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Red0
22751.1
11574.9
15522.5
Blue4
22618.3
13393.2
14080.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions632040608010004

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1157
#38
4.90.4
2.92.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
8.30.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1552
#41
2.50.4
2.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1339
#31
3.20.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2275
#27
1.10.4
0.0-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1408
#32
0.90.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End