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Red64
115821.7
208315.4
158311.1
Blue23
2073.9
22618.3
161911.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221004060801006423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.72.4
10.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
11.30.9
6.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.43.6
6.610.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
8.30.9
3.14.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1583
#13
11.13.6
3.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
207
#29
3.90.6
2.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End