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Red45
19875.7
15842.8
4431.2
Blue2
13393.2
18264.2
17760.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4501015202530354045452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#21
5.73.4
1.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1826
#39
4.20.2
2.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1584
#14
2.83.4
2.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1339
#31
3.20.2
2.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
443
#24
1.23.4
0.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1776
#45
0.20.2
-0.8-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End