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Red38
161911.3
19875.7
11574.9
Blue0
2259-0.3
55512.8
13773.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17140406080380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.31.8
9.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
555
#8
12.80.8
9.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1987
#21
5.71.8
4.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1377
#23
3.71.2
3.52.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1157
#38
4.91.8
2.74.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2259
#22
-0.31.2
1.20.0
Auto
Teleop
End