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Red2
13033.5
15157.6
18613.9
Blue8
8774.4
17992.1
22751.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16902030405060708028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#20
7.60.7
5.44.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
877
#18
4.40.2
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1861
#40
3.91.1
5.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1799
#10
2.10.2
2.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1303
#34
3.51.1
4.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2275
#27
1.10.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End